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Doom Score
41/100
Concerning

How close are we to the end?

Every gauge the internet uses to measure how bad things are, in one place, updated every 15 minutes. The Doom Score is the average alarm level of all of them.

War and nukes

Doomsday Clock
85 sec
to midnight, the closest ever (January 2026)
DEFCON (unofficial)
DEFCON 3
Open-source estimate. The real level is classified.
Iran nuclear test before 2027
4%
chance, according to bettors
Russia invades a NATO country by end of 2026
5%
chance, according to bettors
China–Taiwan military clash before 2027
4%
chance, according to bettors
US invades Iran before 2027
17%
chance, according to bettors
NATO invokes Article 5 before 2027
5%
chance, according to bettors
Armed conflicts worldwide
61
state-based conflicts in 2024, the most since 1946

Death and disaster

People who died today
126,062
worldwide since midnight UTC (estimate, about 2 a second)
Big earthquakes, last 24 hours
21
Biggest: M7.0, 191 km ENE of Nagqu, China
Active hurricanes and tropical storms
2
Subtropical Storm Josephine, Tropical Storm Vance
Major wildfires burning
16
Including: Wildfire COOLEY, Mendocino, California

Space and plagues

Asteroids buzzing Earth this week
14
Closest: 2026 UA1 at 0.58× the Moon’s distance
Solar storm level
G0
The sun is behaving. For now.
Disease outbreak alerts, last 30 days
4
Latest: Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus - Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

Money and memes

Pentagon Pizza Index
DOUGHCON 5
Late-night pizza orders near the Pentagon. Busy pizzerias = something’s up?
Wall Street fear gauge (VIX)
16.7
Normal jitters
US recession by end of 2026
8%
chance, according to bettors
US national debt
$40,453,084,109,954
growing about $7 billion a day (Treasury, last 57 days)
Crypto Fear & Greed
68
Greed (0 = extreme fear, 100 = extreme greed)

Numbers come straight from each source; click any meter to check it yourself. Odds are what prediction-market bettors think, not facts. The DEFCON and pizza readings are unofficial internet estimates. Deaths today is a running estimate from UN yearly figures.